How to interpret the numbers
JEV confidence is a model score, not a calibrated contract win probability. Kronos OHLC candles are generated scenarios, not guaranteed targets or confidence ranges. TradingView win rates describe a separate historical strategy record and do not validate JEV or Kronos.
Market and event-contract risk
Crypto prices can move sharply and event contracts may lose the full amount committed. Leverage, fees, liquidity, settlement feeds, expiry times and tie rules can materially change an outcome.
Model limitations
Models learn patterns from historical inputs and can fail during regime changes, outages, thin liquidity or anomalous data. A recent timestamp does not make an output correct, and a precise price does not imply precise certainty.
Independent verification
Confirm the market, timestamp, interval and settlement rules yourself. Do not combine JEV confidence, Kronos candles and TradingView win rates into a single probability: they are produced by different systems and measure different things.